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Home Technology

Medicare’s new cost mannequin is constructed for AI, and a lot of the tech world has no concept

by Vegas Valley News
May 13, 2026
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Medicare’s new cost mannequin is constructed for AI, and a lot of the tech world has no concept
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Neil Batlivala has spent seven years constructing a healthcare firm that a lot of the tech trade has by no means heard of and that serves a affected person inhabitants most of Silicon Valley ignores. However final month, that work put him on the heart of one thing a lot larger.

His firm, Pair Crew, introduced on April 30 it had been accepted into ACCESS, a Medicare program — as certainly one of 150 individuals chosen by the Facilities for Medicare & Medicaid Providers to check what AI-driven medical care might seem like at federal scale. This system goes reside July 5.

“The federal government is creating swim lanes for AI innovation in historically regulated industries,” he instructed me over a Zoom name just a few days later. “One of the best resolution wins, which, in regulated industries like healthcare — that’s not been the case.”

ACCESS — Advancing Power Care with Efficient, Scalable Options — is a 10-year CMS program testing a cost mannequin that rewards well being outcomes slightly than required actions (like a sure variety of check-ins). Taking part organizations like Pair Crew obtain predictable funds for managing qualifying circumstances and earn the total quantity solely when sufferers meet measurable well being targets, like decrease blood strain or diminished ache. It covers diabetes, hypertension, power kidney illness, weight problems, melancholy, and anxiousness.

That cost construction is the true information.

Conventional Medicare reimburses primarily based on time spent with a clinician. There’s no mechanism to pay for an AI agent that screens a affected person between visits, calls to examine in, coordinates a housing referral, or makes positive somebody picks up their remedy. ACCESS creates that mechanism for the primary time.

“It’s a cost mannequin transformation,” Batlivala mentioned. “You simply couldn’t do that earlier than.”

The primary cohort spans a variety of individuals — AI physician startups, digital diet remedy suppliers, related machine corporations, and wearable makers like Whoop. Batlivala is skeptical of a few of them.

“I am an enormous fan of wearables, however for a senior who’s fighting meals insecurity, I do not understand how a lot Whoop goes to have the ability to do,” he mentioned, including of his personal firm, “We have been constructing towards this for five-plus years now.”

Pair Crew launched in 2019 with a selected type of affected person in thoughts: folks managing power circumstances who have been additionally coping with unstable housing, too little meals, or lack of transportation. A few third of People fall someplace in that class.

The corporate’s premise was that you may’t enhance well being outcomes with out addressing the total context of somebody’s life. It now employs roughly 850 scientific professionals, runs what it describes as the biggest group well being workforce in California, and, per Batlivala, generates income above 9 figures. It has raised about $30 million alongside the best way, together with from Kleiner Perkins, Kraft Ventures, and Subsequent Ventures.

The mannequin has peer-reviewed proof behind it. A examine, co-authored by Pair Crew researchers and peer-reviewed by the Journal of Basic Inside Drugs, evaluated Pair Crew’s community-integrated mannequin, which blends medical, behavioral, and social take care of Medicaid members with excessive charges of homelessness, severe psychological sickness, and power illness and it confirmed robust affected person engagement and important reductions in avoidable emergency and inpatient utilization. Batlivala says one in 4 hospital visits and one in two ER visits do not occur when a affected person is in his firm’s care.

However for years, delivering that degree of care required human groups, which restricted how briskly and cheaply it might scale. Then, about 9 months in the past, Pair Crew deployed a voice AI agent known as Flora as its major patient-facing interface. Flora is on the market 24 hours a day, handles consumption, coordinates referrals, and does the check-ins that hold sufferers engaged between scientific visits.

The primary name that shifted his pondering was with a 67-year-old girl dwelling out of her automobile, managing PTSD and congestive coronary heart failure. She spoke with Flora for over an hour. “It was each unimaginable and miserable,” Batlivala instructed me. “Flora was in all probability the one ‘individual’ she’d talked to in weeks about her state of affairs.” Now, hour-long conversations with Flora are routine. “That is the companionship piece,” he mentioned. “And it seems that’s really an intervention.”

The architects of ACCESS are themselves former startup operators. This system was designed by Abe Sutton, Director of the CMS Innovation Heart, and Jacob Shiff, Chief AI and Know-how Officer of the CMS Innovation Heart. Sutton was beforehand a enterprise capitalist at a healthcare fund known as Rubicon Founders. Shiff is a former healthcare founder. Each joined CMS underneath the Trump administration and their startup backgrounds are mirrored in this system’s design: outcome-based funds, direct-to-consumer enrollment, and a deliberate push for competitors.

There are actual dangers. Members are feeding terribly delicate affected person information — intimate conversations about housing and illnesses and psychological sickness — right into a federal infrastructure with a documented historical past of breaches, together with uncovered Social Safety numbers. For the weak populations ACCESS is designed to serve, that is not an impractical concern.

There are monetary dangers, too. The observe document of CMS innovation applications is combined. A 2023 Congressional Price range Workplace evaluation discovered that the CMS Innovation Heart elevated federal spending by $5.4 billion throughout its first decade slightly than producing the projected financial savings. CMS can also be paying much less per affected person monthly than many individuals anticipated, which suggests the mathematics solely works for organizations which have totally automated most of their affected person interactions.

Batlivala’s reply to the reimbursement concern is that it is a characteristic, not a bug. “If you wish to construct a mannequin that actually incentivizes using AI, the reimbursement charges must be low,” he instructed me. “The economics solely work when you’re operating a lean, AI-first operation.”

Pair Crew says it proper now has partnerships in place that give it entry to roughly 500,000 potential sufferers, and that it desires to succeed in 1,000,000 inside three years.

Healthcare traders have been watching all of this carefully. Digital well being funding hit its highest Q1 complete for the reason that pandemic this 12 months, with AI corporations capturing the majority of it. ACCESS, in the meantime, has barely registered outdoors well being tech commerce press.

Once you buy by way of hyperlinks in our articles, we could earn a small fee. This doesn’t have an effect on our editorial independence.

Tags: builtIdeaMedicaresmodelpaymenttechWorld
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