Sep 14, 2025; Kansas Metropolis, Missouri, USA; Philadelphia Eagles heart Cam Jurgens (51) and guard Landon Dickerson (69) on the line of scrimmage in opposition to the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs through the second half of the sport at GEHA Discipline at Arrowhead Stadium. Obligatory Credit score: Denny Medley-Imagn Photos The Philadelphia Eagles will host the Chicago Bears on Black Friday. The Eagles are coming off one of many worst blown leads of the NFL season, however they nonetheless personal an 8-3 report. The Bears have discovered a surprising quantity of success, posting the identical 8-3 report.
The Eagles have discovered drastically extra success at residence this season. They’re averaging .315 factors per play this 12 months, and that quantity jumps to .418 at residence. They’re giving up 25.6 factors per sport in these contests.
Philadelphia can also be higher defensively at residence. They’re permitting solely .318 factors per play and simply 19.2 factors per sport in these matchups.
Though I do just like the Eagles at residence, the Bears on the street is the larger edge. As is the case with most groups led by a younger quarterback, Chicago has been considerably higher at residence all through the 2025 season.
Our Present Finest Provides
1
Declare your Particular Choose by way of Code + First Time Deposit as much as $250 in bonus!
T&Cs apply, 18+
2
100% as much as $100
T&Cs apply, 18+
3
100% as much as $500
T&Cs apply, 18+
4
$65 worth with only a $10+ deposit
T&Cs apply, 18+
The Bears are averaging a wholesome .436 factors per play in Chicago this season, rating seventh within the NFL. That quantity drops to .384 on the street, which bumps them out of the highest 10.
Unsurprisingly, Chicago’s protection can also be worse away from residence. They rank 14th in factors allowed per play at residence (.334). That quantity balloons to a league-high .543 on the street this season.
This appears like the proper alternative to promote excessive on Chicago whereas shopping for low on Philadelphia. I don’t count on the Bears to be on the prime of the NFC North by season’s finish, and I do count on the Eagles to complete with one of many NFL’s greatest data.
Granted, I’m not the best particular person on this planet on Philadelphia—particularly with their questionable decision-making at head coach. That is nonetheless a spot the place I can confidently keep away from the Bears on the street.
Chicago is without doubt one of the greatest surprises within the NFL, and I don’t purchase into them. Finally, they’re going to regress from these ridiculous wins, and this can be a scenario the place we wouldn’t be shocked if the Bears have been a four-win workforce.
Total, I consider we’re taking a look at one playoff workforce right here with real Tremendous Bowl aspirations. They’re in a get-right spot in opposition to a workforce with a report that oversells who they really are. It’s additionally vital to notice that Chicago is coping with a plethora of accidents, making this activity much more tough.
The place to Wager: Philadelphia Eagles -7 unfold | +100 at ESPN Wager
2025 NFL Season Betting File: 20-26
Our Present Finest Provides
1
Declare your Particular Choose by way of Code + First Time Deposit as much as $250 in bonus!
T&Cs apply, 18+
2
100% as much as $100
T&Cs apply, 18+
3
100% as much as $500
T&Cs apply, 18+
4
$65 worth with only a $10+ deposit
T&Cs apply, 18+
