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From ‘monstrously silly’ to mainstream gas: Has ethanol proved legendary Charlie Munger improper?

by Vegas Valley News
July 5, 2026
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From ‘monstrously silly’ to mainstream gas: Has ethanol proved legendary Charlie Munger improper?
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For years, governments have promoted ethanol-blended petrol as a cleaner various to traditional gas. However lengthy earlier than biofuels grew to become a world coverage precedence, billionaire Warren Buffett’s shut aide legendary investor Charlie Munger dismissed the concept in unusually blunt phrases, arguing that producing ethanol consumed extra fossil gas than the power it delivered.

Talking on the 2006 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholders Assembly, he argued that producing ethanol consumed extra fossil gas than the power the biofuel in the end delivered. 

“I’ve simply sufficient glimmers of thermodynamics left in me to suspect that it takes extra fossil gas power to create ethanol than you will get out of the ethanol you have created. If that’s the case, that is a really silly option to try to resolve an power downside.” 

Munger’s criticism was directed primarily at first-generation corn ethanol, which was quickly increasing in the USA on the time by means of authorities mandates and subsidies. He maintained this view for years, later describing corn ethanol as “monstrously silly” and “one of many dumbest concepts within the historical past of the world,” arguing that it wasted meals crops and distorted agricultural markets. 

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Almost 20 years later, his criticism continues to gas debate — not simply over the science of ethanol’s power stability, but in addition over its financial viability, meals safety implications and function within the transition to cleaner power.

What was Munger referring to? 

On the coronary heart of the controversy is Internet Power Steadiness (NEB), also called Power Returned on Power Invested (EROEI or EROI). 

The idea asks a easy query: How a lot usable power do you get from a gas in contrast with the power required to provide it? 

If producing one unit of gas requires a couple of unit of fossil power, the gas presents little or no power benefit. 

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Why critics argued ethanol was inefficient 

When Munger made his remarks in 2006, a number of research steered that corn ethanol had a poor—and even damaging — power stability. 

Main power inputs included: 

  • Manufacturing nitrogen fertilisers utilizing pure gasoline 
  • Diesel consumed by tractors and farm gear 
  • Irrigation and agricultural operations 
  • Transporting corn to refineries 
  • Power-intensive fermentation and distillation, usually powered by coal or pure gasoline 

Some early analyses concluded that producing corn ethanol required extra fossil power than the ethanol itself contained, supporting Munger’s criticism. 

What does newer analysis say? 

The image has modified over the previous 20 years. 

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Improved crop yields, extra environment friendly fertiliser use, advances in ethanol crops, and higher reliance on pure gasoline and renewable electrical energy have considerably improved the trade’s power efficiency. 

Latest lifecycle assessments — together with research by the US Division of Agriculture (USDA)—typically conclude that trendy corn ethanol now produces roughly 1.5 to 2.3 models of power for each unit of fossil power invested, indicating a optimistic web power stability. 

Meaning Munger’s assertion is much less correct for at present’s US corn ethanol trade than it was when first-generation manufacturing was comparatively inefficient. 

Nonetheless, researchers proceed to debate the precise figures as a result of outcomes rely upon assumptions about farming practices, land-use adjustments and processing strategies. 

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Why the criticism hasn’t disappeared 

Even when ethanol now delivers a optimistic power return, critics argue a number of structural issues stay. 

  • Meals versus gas: Corn used for ethanol is corn that can not be used straight for meals or animal feed. Critics argue that large-scale biofuel manufacturing can tighten meals provides and contribute to larger world meals costs, significantly throughout poor harvests. 
  • Heavy dependence on authorities help: Corn ethanol expanded largely due to mixing mandates, subsidies and tax incentives. Opponents argue that with out authorities help, the trade can be far much less aggressive with typical fuels. 
  • Continued fossil gas dependence: Though ethanol is renewable, producing it nonetheless depends closely on fossil fuels by means of fertiliser manufacturing, farm equipment, transportation and industrial processing. In consequence, critics query whether or not it represents a really clear power answer. 

Corn ethanol vs second-generation biofuels

Not all ethanol is similar. First-generation ethanol is produced from meals crops akin to corn or sugarcane. Second-generation (cellulosic) ethanol is produced from agricultural waste, crop residues, grasses or wooden biomass. 

MUST READ | Govt waives excise responsibility on petrol with larger ranges of ethanol

Cellulosic ethanol has the potential for a a lot larger power return whereas avoiding direct competitors with meals manufacturing. Nonetheless, technological complexity and excessive manufacturing prices have prevented it from attaining widespread industrial adoption. 

How does this relate to India? 

India’s ethanol programme differs considerably from the US mannequin that Munger criticised. 

Somewhat than relying totally on corn, India sources ethanol largely from sugarcane molasses, sugarcane juice and, more and more, broken meals grains and surplus rice. The federal government promotes ethanol mixing to cut back crude oil imports, help farmers and decrease car emissions. 

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Supporters argue these targets lengthen past power effectivity alone. Critics, nevertheless, proceed to boost considerations about water-intensive sugarcane cultivation, land use, meals safety and the long-term sustainability of increasing ethanol manufacturing.

Tags: CharlieethanolFuelLegendarymainstreammonstrouslyMungerprovedstupidwrong
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