Now it will get critical.
Liam Rosenior made a constructive begin to his time at Chelsea. There have been routine wins in opposition to Brentford, Pafos, Crystal Palace and Wolves, and extra thrilling ones away at Napoli and in salvaging three factors at house to West Ham.
The defeats to Arsenal in each legs of the Carabao Cup semi-final had been irritating, a missed alternative, however comprehensible.
However blowing successful positions at house to Leeds and Burnley to attract their previous two Premier League house video games has shifted the scenario.
Chelsea now face a frightening run of fixtures. The hardest run-in of any aspect competing for Champions League qualification.
After they “set fireplace to 4 factors from two house video games,” as Rosenior described it, the strain is nicely and actually on.
A top-five end is much from sure now.
Presently, Chelsea solely sit above Liverpool on purpose distinction. And now they need to shield that benefit by way of a run of video games which begins with away days at Arsenal and Aston Villa, and can see Chelsea host Manchester Metropolis and Manchester United back-to-back in mid-April.
They then should go to Anfield on Might 9.
And that is earlier than factoring in a Champions League knockout tie in opposition to both Paris Saint-Germain or Newcastle, and an FA Cup run, the place they’ve drawn Wrexham, which is able to cut back coaching time and put pressure on sources.
It’s this run of video games which weighs into an Opta prediction mannequin that expects Chelsea to complete sixth. That will be a critical step again after Enzo Maresca managed fourth final season and the lack of Champions League income would complicate plans for the summer season switch market.
It will even be a end which might add to the criticism of the squad-building at Chelsea, the place a give attention to youth and potential over expertise has uncovered them to solutions they lack composure and cutting-edge.
After Chelsea’s draw with Burnley, Rosenior and opposition boss Scott Parker talked up the standard of the Blues’ squad. They rank third in Opta’s anticipated factors (xG) desk, primarily based on anticipated objectives knowledge.
Actually, they’ve created the next xG rating than another aspect within the Premier League.
However additionally they rank fourth-worst for underperforming in that metric, having scored round 4 objectives fewer than they need to have.
This can be a Chelsea group which tops the stats for PPDA (opposition Passes Per Defence Motion), a metric which measures how rapidly a group wins the ball again. But, they’ve let in 12 set-piece objectives. Solely 4 groups have conceded extra.
In each containers, they’ve been discovered wanting at key moments.
For Chelsea supporters, this once more has been a season of promise and glimpses of what this proficient younger group can develop into – but additionally a season of premature setbacks, slip-ups and switch-offs which have value the group at essential occasions.
Now, the margin for error is minimal. Now it will get critical.
Classes to be learnt…
Chelsea started February with defeat at Arsenal. They are going to start March there, hoping to have learnt classes from that Carabao Cup semi-final second leg loss…
Do not be passive… Sky Sports activities pundit Paul Merson slammed Chelsea after that cup recreation as a result of they did not “give it a go” to overtake the 3-2 combination lead Arsenal held from the primary leg.
For this Premier League journey Chelsea can’t be gung-ho – however Rosenior will even not wish to see a repeat of the gradual possession which featured in final week’s draw to Burnley. Chelsea had been cruising however by no means received the second purpose and Wesley Fofana’s crimson card modified the sport.
“I would like incision. I would like us to create wave after wave of assault,” mentioned Rosenior after that draw. He will not get dominance like that on the Emirates however, in possession, Chelsea should present intent.
Clear up set-piece struggles… Zian Flemming’s header to seize Burnley some extent at Stamford Bridge was glorious – nevertheless it helps when you will have a free run and unmarked alternative to satisfy a James Ward-Prowse pinpoint supply.
Rosenior had flooded the pitch with giants when Chelsea went right down to 10, conscious of Ward-Prowse’s high quality deliveries. However was left fuming at a participant “who did not do their job” and left Flemming free.
Towards Arsenal, the highest set-piece scorers within the Premier League, who additionally scored from a nook in opposition to Chelsea at Stamford Bridge, there might be no repeat.
Maintain their heads… It is now eight crimson playing cards this season for Chelsea. Rosenior, interim Calum McFarlane and Maresca have insisted there is not a self-discipline drawback on this group. Properly, there actually is a case for an absence of composure – and that attribute might be very important on the Emirates.
Let’s not neglect, that is must-win for Arsenal, too, as they give the impression of being to bolster their Premier League title bid. Feelings might be operating excessive and Chelsea have to maintain their focus.
That is not nearly crimson playing cards, both. After Fofana’s sending off in opposition to Burnley, Rosenior mentioned the draw added to a listing of video games after Wolves away, Crystal Palace away and Leeds at house the place Chelsea “have conceded objectives from moments of lack of focus, lack of accountability”.
Chelsea group information forward of Arsenal away
Fofana might be suspended for the journey throughout London, whereas Marc Cucurella is out and Estevao is a doubt.
Romeo Lavia was again on the bench in opposition to Burnley and can hope to make his return from damage.








